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Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

47.6%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 47.6%. Trading volume: $5K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$5K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$32
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
42.7% / 52.5%
Spread
9.8%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conrad Kramer ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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