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Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?

28.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 28.5%. Trading volume: $7K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 4h ago
Volume
$7K
Volume 24h
$3
Liquidity
$665
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
21.0% / 36.0%
Spread
15.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jan 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holdings officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolutions sourc…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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