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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

42.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?" has a probability of 42.0%. Trading volume: $94K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 19m ago
Volume
$94K
Volume 24h
$358
Liquidity
$13K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
37.0% / 47.0%
Spread
10.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. District Court in the Northern District of California sides with Elon Musk in Elon Musk v. Sam Altman et al by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the case reaches a determination without s…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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