MethodologyAPI
Home › Ai › Will GPT-6 be released by December 31,...

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

83.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 83.5%. Trading volume: $31K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$31K
Volume 24h
$38
Liquidity
$9K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
82.0% / 85.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via op…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology