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Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

37.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" has a probability of 37.5%. Trading volume: $90K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$90K
Volume 24h
$112
Liquidity
$7K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
36.0% / 39.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open b…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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