MethodologyAPI
Home › Ai › Will GPT-6 be released by September 30...

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

69.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?" has a probability of 69.0%. Trading volume: $2K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$2K
Volume 24h
$12
Liquidity
$3K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
62.0% / 76.0%
Spread
14.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via o…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology