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Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

60.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?" has a probability of 60.0%. Trading volume: $75K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$75K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$27K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
59.0% / 61.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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