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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?

0.6%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?" has a probability of 0.6%. Trading volume: $79K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$79K
Volume 24h
$875
Liquidity
$6K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
0.4% / 0.8%
Spread
0.4%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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