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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

1.1%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?" has a probability of 1.1%. Trading volume: $241K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$241K
Volume 24h
$570
Liquidity
$92K
Traders
Bid / Ask
1.0% / 1.1%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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