On Manifold Markets, "Will NASA announce that there is life on K2-18b with a high degree probability before January 1st, 2027?" has a probability of 2.0%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.