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Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $21,000 (LOW) in December?

72.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $21,000 (LOW) in December?" has a probability of 72.5%. Trading volume: $3K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$3K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$2K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
55.0% / 90.0%
Spread
35.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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