MethodologyAPI
Home › Other › Will New Zealand recognize Palestine b...

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

19.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?" has a probability of 19.5%. Trading volume: $112K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$112K
Volume 24h
$475
Liquidity
$13K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology