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Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

49.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?" has a probability of 49.5%. Trading volume: $7K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$7K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$1K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
37.0% / 62.0%
Spread
25.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Las…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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