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Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

10.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?" has a probability of 10.0%. Trading volume: $32K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$32K
Volume 24h
$2
Liquidity
$9K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
6.7% / 13.3%
Spread
6.6%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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