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Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

1.8%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?" has a probability of 1.8%. Trading volume: $12K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 4h ago
Volume
$12K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$9K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
1.8% / 1.9%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "S…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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