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Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

12.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?" has a probability of 12.0%. Trading volume: $43K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 10m ago
Volume
$43K
Volume 24h
$90
Liquidity
$18K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
4.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score"…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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