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Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

43.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 43.0%. Trading volume: $26K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$26K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$2K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
39.0% / 47.0%
Spread
8.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by i…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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