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Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?

16.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?" has a probability of 16.0%. Trading volume: $29K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$29K
Volume 24h
$798
Liquidity
$8K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Novyi Donbas, Donetsk Oblast, (48.450718° N, 37.181238° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified ter…

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