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Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?

26.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?" has a probability of 26.5%. Trading volume: $18K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$18K
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$7K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
25.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Rai-Oleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.8088° N, 37.8573° E) between market creation and April 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Rai-Oleks…

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