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Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?

7.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?" has a probability of 7.5%. Trading volume: $2K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$2K
Volume 24h
$114
Liquidity
$3K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
6.0% / 9.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the mon…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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