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Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

9.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?" has a probability of 9.0%. Trading volume: $2K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$2K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$3K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
7.0% / 11.0%
Spread
4.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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