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Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

2.7%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?" has a probability of 2.7%. Trading volume: $46K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$46K
Volume 24h
$42
Liquidity
$21K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
2.5% / 2.9%
Spread
0.4%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2027
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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