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Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

0.9%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?" has a probability of 0.9%. Trading volume: $31K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 21m ago
Volume
$31K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$20K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
0.9% / 1.0%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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