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Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

57.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?" has a probability of 57.0%. Trading volume: $3K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$3K
Volume 24h
$49
Liquidity
$3K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
56.0% / 58.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting. If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the display…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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