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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

9.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?" has a probability of 9.5%. Trading volume: $970K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 12h ago
Volume
$970K
Volume 24h
$11K
Liquidity
$95K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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