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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

3.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?" has a probability of 3.5%. Trading volume: $129K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 12h ago
Volume
$129K
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$87K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
3.5% / 3.6%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jul 2026
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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