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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?

16.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?" has a probability of 16.5%. Trading volume: $172K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$172K
Volume 24h
$16
Liquidity
$9K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or th…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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