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Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

13.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?" has a probability of 13.2%. Trading volume: $589K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$589K
Volume 24h
$48K
Liquidity
$11K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
13.0% / 13.5%
Spread
0.5%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before mark…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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