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Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?

21.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?" has a probability of 21.0%. Trading volume: $307K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$307K
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$10K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
20.0% / 22.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before mark…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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