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Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

15.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?" has a probability of 15.0%. Trading volume: $121K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 23m ago
Volume
$121K
Volume 24h
$186
Liquidity
$19K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
14.0% / 16.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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