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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?

27.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?" has a probability of 27.0%. Trading volume: $58K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$58K
Volume 24h
$160
Liquidity
$16K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
24.0% / 30.0%
Spread
6.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve…

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