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Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?

73.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 73.5%. Trading volume: $6K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$6K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$761
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
57.0% / 90.0%
Spread
33.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will r…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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