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Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?

9.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?" has a probability of 9.5%. Trading volume: $7K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$7K
Volume 24h
$986
Liquidity
$16K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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