On Manifold Markets, "Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?" has a probability of 29.4%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.