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Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

88.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?" has a probability of 88.5%. Trading volume: $534K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 7m ago
Volume
$534K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$7K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
88.0% / 89.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Surve…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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