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Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?

2.7%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?" has a probability of 2.7%. Trading volume: $2K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 4h ago
Volume
$2K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$1K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
0.5% / 4.9%
Spread
4.4%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
May 2026
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q1 of 2026 compared with the same quarter a year ago in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If the reported value fall…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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