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Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

13.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?" has a probability of 13.0%. Trading volume: $60K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$60K
Volume 24h
$118
Liquidity
$37K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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