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Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?

1.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?" has a probability of 1.5%. Trading volume: $81K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$81K
Volume 24h
$326
Liquidity
$49K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
1.4% / 1.5%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the sp…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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