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Will xAI have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?

3.6%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will xAI have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?" has a probability of 3.6%. Trading volume: $1K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$1K
Volume 24h
$140
Liquidity
$3K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
1.1% / 6.2%
Spread
5.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Resul…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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