Across 2 prediction market platforms, "Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU" has a consensus probability of 17.8%. Manifold: 13.6%, Gemini: 23.0%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.
Computed from 2 platforms using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.