29 candidates tracked across prediction markets. Top: 🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — mr beast hits 250M subs on youtube at 96.2%.

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0Edug0Apdq

29 candidates tracked. 1 with cross-platform consensus.

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — mr beast hits 250M subs on youtube

96.2%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — Alec Baldwin case ends

92.5%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — 2024 election is called by AP

90.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — Trump running mate announced

90.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — The Federal Reserve decreases interest rates

86.2%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — Andrew Tate found guilty of a crime

69.2%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — Solar panels removed from the White House (again).

54.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — tortured poet's department releases

50.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — the end of manifest 2024

50.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — the start of manifest 2024

50.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — julian Assange extradited to usa

50.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — Lantern bioworks Lumina treatment given FDA approval for something

50.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — spiderman beyond the spiderverse releases

41.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — The official name of Elder Scrolls 6 is announced

37.2%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — Cannabis is removed from Schedule 1

37.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — gta 6 releases

33.8%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — Saudi Arabia recognizes Israel

33.8%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — he outlives inflation in the usa (trailing 12 month CPI increase less than 2% before he dies)

30.8%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — Joe Biden passes away or is murdered

25.7%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — Windows 12 released

21.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — binance cease operating

20.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — The last case of Guinea worm in humans

20.0%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — trump found guilty of a crime

13.5%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — the ukraine russia war ends

12.3%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — human walks on the moon again

11.3%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — azerbaijian invades armenia

9.4%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — destiny goes on joe rogan

7.5%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — Ukraine joins NATOconsensus

5.1%

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES] — first female president

3.0%

Top Candidates Over Time

Event Details

Manifold (30 markets)

Polymarket (1 markets)

Candidates

Cross-Platform

Total Volume

$1.1M

Volume 24h

$605

Total Liquidity

$31K

Updated

1h ago

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Jan 2027

About This Event

Candidates with the "consensus" badge have probabilities computed from multiple prediction market platforms using geometric mean of odds. Others show single-platform data. Methodology →