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U9Nzcztqez

Q: U9Nzcztqez

30 candidates tracked across prediction markets. Top: 📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — 6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states at 98.3%.

30 candidates tracked. 4 with cross-platform consensus.

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — 6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states

98.3%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Vladimir Putin diesconsensus

97.4%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — GTA VI Release

88.7%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — GOP loses control of the Houseconsensus

81.4%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — MLB World Series won by the National League team

66.2%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Israel : Hamas Ceasefire

66.2%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — at least one equipment caused death at a theme park in the USA due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause (not: pool drowning, natural disasters , medical, or forced violence)

63.7%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — New FKT record for the Appalachian Trail

62.1%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Chat GPT 6 releases

61.9%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Earthquake over 8.0 magnitude

56.3%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — nuclear detonation occurs (can

56.0%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — there is a need to replace an existing supreme court justice (dies/retires/etc) or they add another justice

55.0%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Someone other than Netanyahu becomes prime minister of Israel

50.0%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Assassination of an African head of state

46.0%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Taylor Swift drops a new album (not a Taylor’s Version of an older album actually majority new tracks)

44.0%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread

43.8%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Twitter releases peer to peer payment system, for at least all premium users if not everyone

36.3%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — grimace shake returns at mcdonalds in usa

33.0%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Kanye West is arrested or admitted to a mental hospital

26.3%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Joe Biden dies

25.0%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Taylor Swift breaks up with Kelce

24.0%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Russia : Ukraine ceasefireconsensus

23.8%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — bitcoin reaches a new all time highconsensus

22.5%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Assassination of a European or Asian head of state

18.1%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — North Korea and South Korea conflict reignites into a hot war, and results in at least one death

17.1%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — commercial airline hijacking

13.0%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — H5N1 pandemic declared

13.0%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — pope leo dies

10.0%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Donald Trump dies

6.0%

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] — Pope Francis dies

1.0%

Top Candidates Over Time

Event Details

Manifold (35 markets)

Polymarket (3 markets)

Gemini (1 markets)

Candidates

Cross-Platform

Total Volume

$18.8M

Volume 24h

$126K

Total Liquidity

$899K

Updated

3h ago

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Jan 2027

About This Event

Candidates with the "consensus" badge have probabilities computed from multiple prediction market platforms using geometric mean of odds. Others show single-platform data. Methodology →