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#5 Overall Pick in 2026 Draft? — Sonny Styles

26.5%
Consensus Probability (Model A — Inverse-Variance Log-Odds)
2 platforms · 3pp spread · $9K

Across 2 prediction market platforms, "#5 Overall Pick in 2026 Draft? — Sonny Styles" has a consensus probability of 26.5%. Gemini: 25.5%, Polymarket: 28.5%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.

Platform Comparison — white line = consensus
Gemini
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26%
$7K
Polymarket
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28%
$1K
Probability Over Time
All 4 Consensus Models
Market Details
Gemini
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$7K
Liquidity
Bid / Ask
— / —
Spread
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$314
Bid / Ask
25.0% / 32.0%
Spread
7.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted fifth overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this mark…

About This Consensus

Computed from 2 platforms using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →

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