Across 2 prediction market platforms, "English Premier League Winner 2025-26? — Arsenal" has a consensus probability of 60.7%. Gemini: 62.0%, Manifold: 58.3%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.
Computed from 2 platforms using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.