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Which team wins 2026 Stanley Cup — Carolina Hurricanes

56.3%
Consensus Probability (Model A — Inverse-Variance Log-Odds)
2 platforms · 3pp spread · $111K

Across 2 prediction market platforms, "Which team wins 2026 Stanley Cup — Carolina Hurricanes" has a consensus probability of 56.3%. Manifold: 58.6%, Gemini: 55.5%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.

Platform Comparison — white line = consensus
Manifold
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59%
36 traders
Gemini
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56%
$111K
Probability Over Time
All 4 Consensus Models
Market Details
Manifold
Updated 3h ago
Volume
Liquidity
Bid / Ask
— / —
Spread
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
Gemini
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$111K
Liquidity
Bid / Ask
— / —
Spread
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026

About This Consensus

Computed from 2 platforms using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →

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