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RBC Heritage Top 10 Finisher? — Scottie Scheffler

64.0%
Consensus Probability (Model A — Inverse-Variance Log-Odds)
2 platforms · 8pp spread · $6K

Across 2 prediction market platforms, "RBC Heritage Top 10 Finisher? — Scottie Scheffler" has a consensus probability of 64.0%. Gemini: 67.0%, Polymarket: 59.5%. Consensus via geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014), validated by IARPA ACE tournament.

Platform Comparison — white line = consensus
Gemini
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67%
$4K
Polymarket
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60%
$2K
Probability Over Time
All 4 Consensus Models
Market Details
Gemini
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$4K
Liquidity
Bid / Ask
— / —
Spread
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$206
Bid / Ask
56.0% / 63.0%
Spread
7.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 at the 2026 RBC Heritage tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by April 26, 2026 at 2:00AM ET this market will resolve to "No". The …

About This Consensus

Computed from 2 platforms using geometric mean of odds (Satopaa et al., 2014). This method was validated by the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament as the most accurate probability aggregation technique. Full methodology →

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