MethodologyAPI
Home › Politics › Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria...

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

16.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 16.0%. Trading volume: $56K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$56K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$16K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
14.0% / 18.0%
Spread
4.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this mark…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology