Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
24%
Kamala Harris
9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
politics44 candidates +41 more$1141.3M+$3.0M/24h
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
36%
Marco Rubio
25%
Tucker Carlson
6%
politics35 candidates +32 more$616.5M+$911K/24h
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
19%
Gavin Newsom
17%
Marco Rubio
13%
politics36 candidates +33 more$580.6M+$1.8M/24h
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella
24%
Édouard Philippe
20%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
10%
politics36 candidates +33 more$70.9M+$2.0M/24h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
11%
Manifold
4%
Polymarket
14%
other2 sources$28.9M10pp gap
California Governor Election 2026
Xavier Becerra
52%
Tom Steyer
32%
Steve Hilton
9%
politics23 candidates +20 more$21.4M+$440K/24h
Who Will Be The Next Prime Minister Of Israel After The Next Election
Benjamin Netanyahu
40%
Naftali Bennett
34%
Gadi Eizenkot
13%
politics17 candidates +14 more$8.4M+$155K/24h
Balance Of Power 2026 Midterms
2026 Balance of Power: D Sen
44%
2026 Balance of Power: R Sen
34%
2026 Balance of Power: R Sen
22%
politics5 candidates +2 more$6.7M+$37K/24h
Next UK Prime Minister In 2026
no next Prime Minister of th
26%
Andy Burnham
22%
Angela Rayner
20%
politics21 candidates +18 more$6.4M+$421K/24h
Which Party Will Win The House In 2026
Democratic Party control the
78%
Republican Party control the
22%
politics2 candidates $6.2M+$89K/24h
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
37%
Predictit
46%
Polymarket
36%
Manifold
30%
politics3 sources$3.3M16pp gap
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
politicsPolymarket$2.4M
Which Party Will Win The Senate In 2026
Republican Party control the
54%
Democratic Party control the
46%
politics2 candidates $2.4M+$5K/24h
Republican Senate Seats After The 2026 Midterm Elections
Republican Party hold 47 or
26%
Republican Party hold exactl
18%
Republican Party hold exactl
16%
politics11 candidates +8 more$2.3M+$9K/24h
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
16%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
16%
politicsPolymarket$2.1M
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
74%
↓ 5ppPolymarket
74%
politicsPolymarket$2.1M
Which Party Wins 2028 US Presidential Election
Democrats
60%
Republicans
38%
politics2 candidates $1.7M+$4K/24h
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
16%
Polymarket
16%
politicsPolymarket$1.7M
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
12%
— 0ppPolymarket
12%
politicsPolymarket$1.4M
Who Will Close Warner Bros Acquisition
Paramount close Warner Bros
76%
No listed company closes War
18%
Netflix close Warner Bros ac
0%
politics4 candidates +1 more$1.1M+$615/24h