OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,058
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
195,510
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
164 questions
Consensus 2+
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
7%
— 0pp
Polymarket
7%
geopoliticsPolymarket$9.4M
Iran Leader End Of 2026
Mojtaba Khamenei
64%
Reza Pahlavi
8%
Abbas Araghchi
4%
geopolitics30 candidates +27 more$7.8M+$43K/24h
How Many Different Countries Will Israel Strike In 2026
Israel strike 5 countries in
36%
Israel strike 4 countries in
32%
Israel strike 6 countries in
19%
geopolitics12 candidates +9 more$4.6M+$10K/24h
Iran leadership change by December 31?
34%
Polymarket
34%
geopoliticsPolymarket$2.4M
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
24%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
24%
geopoliticsPolymarket$2.0M
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
10%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.8M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
62%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
62%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.7M
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
6%
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.4M
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
57%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
57%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.3M
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
8%
— 0pp
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$985K
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
8%
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$708K
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
16%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$626K
Iran Nuke before 2027?
9%
— 0pp
Polymarket
9%
geopoliticsPolymarket$602K
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
16%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$571K
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
18%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$561K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
26%
Polymarket
26%
geopoliticsPolymarket$549K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
33%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
33%
geopoliticsPolymarket$549K
How Many Different Countries Will The US Strike In 2026
US strike 7 countries in 202
39%
US strike 8 countries in 202
34%
US strike 9 countries in 202
13%
geopolitics9 candidates +6 more$545K+$13/24h
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
4%
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$464K
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
19%
Polymarket
19%
geopoliticsPolymarket$459K
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