OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,068
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
177,010
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
161 questions
Consensus 2+
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
15%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
15%
geopoliticsPolymarket$425K
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
2%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
2%
geopoliticsPolymarket$393K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
9%
— 0pp
Polymarket
9%
geopoliticsPolymarket$387K
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
20%
Polymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$336K
Which Countries Will Recognize Israel By June
Lebanon recognize Israel by
4%
Saudi Arabia recognize Israe
3%
Tunisia recognize Israel by
3%
geopolitics15 candidates +12 more$323K+$4K/24h
Who Will Enter Iran By June
any U.S. House member enter
5%
any U.S. Senator enter Iran
3%
Jared Kushner enter Iran by
2%
geopolitics6 candidates +3 more$289K
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
16%
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$288K
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
27%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
27%
geopoliticsPolymarket$282K
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
24%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
24%
geopoliticsPolymarket$241K
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
22%
Polymarket
22%
geopoliticsPolymarket$220K
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
5%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$216K
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
18%
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$208K
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
18%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$197K
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
2%
— 0pp
Polymarket
2%
geopoliticsPolymarket$196K
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$195K
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
9%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
9%
geopoliticsPolymarket$192K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
12%
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$192K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
10%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$189K
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
14%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$185K
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
22%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
22%
geopoliticsPolymarket$153K
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