Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
38%
Polymarket
38%
geopoliticsPolymarket$143K
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
16%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$131K
W
Will the US and Iran announce a ceasefire agreement by March 25, 2026?
85%
Context
85%
geopoliticsContext$128K
China coup attempt before 2027?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$128K
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$121K
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
40%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
40%
geopoliticsPolymarket$108K
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
6%
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$106K
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
19%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
19%
geopoliticsPolymarket$99K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$98K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
10%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$96K
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
20%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$94K
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
11%
Polymarket
11%
geopoliticsPolymarket$78K
NATO dissolves before 2027?
6%
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$77K
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
6%
— 0ppPolymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$75K
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
12%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$68K
NATO article 5 before 2027?
14%
Polymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$61K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
44%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
44%
geopoliticsPolymarket$57K
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
8%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$51K
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
8%
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$51K
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
7%
Polymarket
7%
geopoliticsPolymarket$51K